Aruzhan Sagandikova vs Rikke De Koning Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Recent second serve performance shows Aruzhan Sagandikova with a slight advantage, winning 38.34% of points compared to Rikke De Koning's 34.96%. Does this hint that Sagandikova might be favored? Yes, as second serve efficacy often impacts match outcomes.
• In return games, Rikke De Koning excels by capturing 56.80% of their opponent's second serve points, whereas Sagandikova trails with 47.45%. This indicates a solid edge for De Koning in return games.
• Assessing first serve returns, both players present closely matched stats, with Sagandikova slightly leading at 34.93% compared to De Koning's 33.83%.
• Evaluating under pressure performance, Sagandikova seems better equipped to save breakpoints, managing a 47.18% save rate, while De Koning saves 38.95%.
• Looking at overall performance, De Koning has a narrow edge with a 51.43% match win rate over the past year, compared to Sagandikova's 49.02% win rate.
• Both players find clay to be their favorite surface, achieving a 59% win rate. However, on indoor hard courts, Sagandikova has a clear advantage with a 27% win rate compared to De Koning's 0%.
• They have similar success at lower event levels, with De Koning winning 53.33% and Sagandikova 52.50% of matches at Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments $10K.
• De Koning has faced stiffer competition, playing opponents with an average rank of 230.51, while Sagandikova faced those with a lower average rank of 422.59.
• For matches that reach a deciding set, both players have nearly identical win rates, with Sagandikova slightly ahead at 39% and De Koning at 38%.
• Both players display similar effectiveness in break point conversion, with Sagandikova slightly better at 45.51% compared to De Koning's 45.30% in recent form.

Editorial Prediction (November 19, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Rikke De Koning and Aruzhan Sagandikova showcases two evenly matched players with strengths in different areas. Sagandikova's second serve performance and pressure-handling capabilities make her a formidable opponent.

Conversely, De Koning's proficiency in return games, particularly against second serves, offers her a significant competitive edge. Furthermore, De Koning's experience against higher-ranked opponents may prove advantageous.

While Sagandikova has better breakpoint protection, both players excel on clay, hinting at a close contest. De Koning's slightly superior match win percentage and robust return game suggest she may hold a marginal advantage.

Ultimately, given the data, Rikke De Koning appears slightly more likely to emerge victorious in this matchup, although the competition promises to be intense and closely fought.